This time, I avoid talking about a specific case. This time I will talk about the situation (dramatic) facing the UFO.
The thing I'm certain is that unless we hurry to reform, to recreate, to completely reshape the field of UFO study can all go home safely. You can not
that ufology is trapped in a gigantic network of nonsense.
The main point, to clarify, is that ufology is now caught between two extremes of thought that are slowly crushing. Both these currents have apparently abandoned the scientific method.
The first problem, is skeptical of the matrix. He comes from those who "believe" to the UFO phenomenon. We call this problem as well overlapping levels of analysis. To illustrate the problem well
overlapping levels of analysis, it is necessary to take a step back.
We speak of the UFO phenomenon, a somthing that " is a phenomenon that is not similar to any weather event / Known physical and non-reproducible by humans . "So we use this definition of UFO, this is of course a definition of a" broader "than the classic" unidentified flying object ", but it's functional for what we're about to say.
The Extra-Terrestrial Hypothesis
The Extra-Terrestrial Hypothesis is undoubtedly the most popular explanation for the UFO phenomenon. The main methodological problem is: where do we draw out an explanation? Let me explain. Just because these UFOs are in heaven we can talk about extra-terrestrial hypothesis? course is an argument a bit 'too weak.
The literature has proposed different solutions to this problem. This practice of bringing in other fields of research not strictly related to UFOs, abductions or contacts for example. Through the literature of abduction, or other phenomena (such as contacts or Crop Circles), just trying to connect the UFO phenomenon to some extra-terrestrial.
But everything has some immediate problems:
a) The UFO phenomenon is a phenomenon experienced . course. Sure. That is to say that the UFO phenomenon, there . There are phenomena "is not equivalent to any weather event known physical rirpoducibili and not by humans." The phenomenon of abduction, and other mystical realities can dream of such security. This does not mean that these phenomena do not exist, but simply means that while the UFO is a fact established, a fact, the abductions are not. Connect variaible therefore a certain "X" to a variable degree of "Y", it means discrediting the variable X itself.
b) Suppose, to pretend that the abduction phenomenon to enjoy the same scientific quality of the UFO phenomenon. UFO Connection -> Abduction is still weak. Because the search field "+ UFO Abduction" has even less scientific credibility of the abduction phenomenon itself. And with scientific credibility does not intend to give an opinion of value, because, I repeat, the abduction phenomenon could easily be real. I am simply saying that his study did not have that support scientific and instead had ufology (and is not intelligible as it is the UFO phenomenon). Even today, the study of abduction is carried out in ways that clearly violate the principle of falsifiability and the method scienifico in general.
In other words, it is dangerous to continue the argument with extra-terrestrial phenomena external to the UFO phenomenon itself. This does not mean that these phenomena are not related UFO activity, but these arguments, however, much more fragile and more easily attacked, with the result that later the whole field of UFO research suffers.
Quite the contrary, the UFO phenomenon per se, has an incredible strength. A sound that deserves to emerge.
Where can therefore come up with the extra-terrestrial hypothesis? Simple, the UFO phenomenon itself. Given the definition that we gave at the beginning, you may think a bit 'up.
The event, we said, is not assibilabile any known physical phenomenon. At the same time, can not be reproduced by current human technology. Combining these two terms, it soon becomes clear that if this phenomenon is not a natural event, whether this is not the work of man ... Well, who needs to be done? We mathematical certainty that there are other beings on our planet more intelligent than us, able to be able to explain the phenomenon. There was indeed an intelligent species antagonist, superior to us, then the answer would probably be found on this planet. If, however, on this planet there is no other technological species so advanced, then the most rational hypothesis that can be done ... And 'that the UFO phenomenon is extraterrestrial in origin.
All this may seem trivial, but this fact should give pause to many. Given the fact that the UFO phenomenon (as we have described for the opening) is real (and I mean those low percentages of sightings deemed "genuine"), the only possible rational hypothesis is precisely that extra-+ earthly. This has very strong implications: it means that the fact that UFOs are extra-terrestrial has a high percentage of possibilities. Consequently, the hypothesis that the earth there is extra-terrestrial is a possibility that theoretically approaches certainty.
Why, though, if the UFO phenomenon is determined to be a certainty, it is not a result also suggested extra-terrestrial? Because we talked about the definition of "physical phenomena known." So there is always the possibility that the UFO phenomenon is due to physical phenomena that we do not know.
At this point the central question: what should the UFO? Ufology should try to see if the UFO phenomenon is a phenomenon of extra-terrestrial or a physical phenomenon not yet known. This study goes way through two tracks: first, keeping an eye on the developments of research in atmospheric and physical phenomena in general. The second is to develop a series of evaluation parameters (to be methodologically perfect) to determine whether a given phenomenon is showing signs of intelligence. So, to begin to isolate a number of cases and study them to see if these signs of rationality exist or not. This is the only perfect way to be able to have the final confirmation of the hypothesis extra-terrestrial. For example, a UFO that flies away at the approach of an aircraft can be recognized as intelligent activity. These cases are brought to the attention of the public, no longer simply the UFO phenomenon (which, as we said, is now certainty).
the end of this research, within a reasonable time you can also operate in a few years, we can confirm definitively whether the UFO phenomenon is extraterrestrial in origin or simply a natural phenomenon not yet known.
The most observant will have noticed my omission: I have not spoken to Earth hypothesis (read: military) to the UFO phenomenon. This hypothesis must clearly be rejected, but I'll so more detail elsewhere.
The question of overlapping levels of analysis
This problem, called SLA to simplify, is the weak side of the mold letturatura skeptical of unscientific. This problem, thankfully, is simply about the popular press and academia. In summary is this: When it comes to UFO phenomena, do not answer discussing the UFO phenomenon in question, but you look at other levels of analysis that has nothing to do with ufology. Here, therefore, established as the focus CICAP their tests under the same heading ufology, Crop Circles. On the abduction. On the contacts. But not on the events UFO. These arguments, as I repeat it are interesting and can easily be connected to UFOs, are actually very weak. Even on TV, the UFO phenomenon is pervaded by the ALS problem. Guests programs are often former abductees, who says people have the alien in the brain, are shown video of crop circles and so on. In particular, I was sorry to see Paul Attivissimo, person I have always respected and followed by years (almost from its first guide to the Linux operating system), fall into this trap. His works are undoubtedly valuable sull'undici September: there is that Paul Attivissimo respond point by point, the main issue. As for the question ufology, but Paul seems to be heavily unprepared and unscientific. This is however a different matter, maybe I will deal later. Probably the poor Paul had to work all day on the rubbish (why are these chemtrails and assumptions on the inside job of 911) began to be a wee bit skeptical of ideological vision of a not too scientific.
were saying, this problem is the SLA. One can only hope that the skeptics in the future, may abandon this approach. Why do we need to skeptics. Even better would be to follow the letter of ufologists the principle neutral, so that you can avoid battles stage among believers and nonbelievers. But so maybe it's still early. SLA
The problem, however, also focuses on the UFO. In fact, if ufologists in their journals will continue to mix Crop Circles, abductions and friends will be singing themselves to show the side of non-believers. Ufologists do not realize they hold all the answers, they hold a very solid argument that does not need any external support. Awake!
And of course, forget all the stories of cover-up. Again, not because this is not true (as can be can not be), but why not certified and thus easily attacked. The UFO phenomenon is demonstrable and not attack, use it. I am
for autonomy of the field of UFO study, those who love me follow me.
This can be demonstrated, is not affected
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